-Wheat tour day 2 results all-time low
-USDA reports small new crop soybean sale to China – no corn
-ASF found in Dominican Republic
-Old crop corn/soybeans “sales” net cancellations
Weather models reduced rain ideas for most U.S. growing areas through the 15-day outlook period, although temps are expected to remain generally non-threatening, as well.
 Day 2 Wheat Quality Council spring wheat tour results showed even worse yield prospects than day 1 with the average yield for scouted fields put at 24.6 bu/acre vs 29.5 on day 1 and compares to 2019’s 40.8 bu/acre and the most-recent 5-year average day 2 tour estimate of 42.4 bu/acre. This was the lowest day 2 yield estimate ever of data we have available back to 1996. The tour will wrap up later today after touring fields in northeastern ND and will release final estimates this afternoon.
ï‚· USDA reported 132k tonnes of new crop, 21/22, soybeans sold to China this morning, but there were no corn sales
announcements as recent market talk alluded to.
ï‚· The first cases of African swine fever in the Americas in roughly 40 years have been identified in two separate, geographically distanced, farms in the Dominican Republic. While a full ban on pork product imports from the DR is already in place for the U.S. due to other disease concerns, the proximity to the U.S. obviously raises concerns given the unknown source of the disease there.
 Without providing details, Russia’s state weather forecaster lowered its estimate of the total grain crop to 121 MMT from 124 MMT previously (133.5 MMT last year) due to hot/dry conditions in the Volga region this month. The Russian ag ministry’s last official total grain production estimate was 127.4 MMT.
 Please see our Market Insights post at https://portal.rjobrien.com/MarketInsights/Blog/Read/44689 for details on today’s USDA Export Sales report.
ï‚· Old crop U.S. corn sales were net cancellations of 115k tonnes (-4.5 mil bu) vs expectations of -100 to + 300k tonnes, the 2nd
week of net cancellations in a row and pushes the weekly “needed” sales pace through the end of August up to around 8 million bushels/week as the 2020/21 export program appears set to finish with a whimper. The cancellations were all by China of 119k tonnes. New crop sales of 529k tonnes (20.8 mil bu) were above market expectations of 100-300k tonnes, but hardly
noteworthy, with no new sales to China reported.
ï‚· U.S. soybean sales were net cancellations of 79k tonnes (-2.9 mil bu) vs market expectations of -100 to +100k tonnes, with
Japan canceling 75k tonnes as well as 52k tonnes by unknown. New crop sales were 313k tonnes (11.5 mil bu) vs expectations
of 200-400k tonnes, with 121k tonnes to China.
ï‚· U.S. wheat sales of 515k tonnes (18.9 mil bu) were within market expectations of 350-600k tonnes, but were up from the
previous week’s 17.5 million bushels and were a 2021/22 marketing year high through the first 8 weeks.
ï‚· Old crop soybean meal sales were 87k tonnes, up slightly from the last two week’s sales of 68k and 71k tonnes, were within
market expectations of 50-200k tonnes and were again modestly above the roughly 42k tonnes/week we estimate is needed
based on the USDA’s current export projection. Soybean oil sales were minimal again at only 2.2k tonnes (0-10k expected), but were actually the highest in four weeks, but still below the roughly 3.1k tonnes/week “needed.â€