U.S. Treasuries utf/8QE28093 Focus of utf/8QTradersE28099 Attention

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** U.S. TREASURIES – FOCUS OF TRADERS’ ATTENTION
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** BY BLU PUTNAM, CHIEF ECONOMIST & ERIK NORLAND, SENIOR ECONOMIST, CME GROUP
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Tug-of-War at 3% Yield Level of 10-Year Treasury Notes

Video Highlights

	* Economic anxiety playing out at 3% yield level for 10-Year Treasury Note
	* Robust Q2 growth, low unemployment support yield above 3%
	* Trade war, recession fears, competing foreign bonds adding pressure
	* U.S. core inflation needs to head higher consistently to elevate yield

 
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Hedging U.S. Equities with Treasury Options

Highlights

	* U.S. equities might be in late stages of a nine-year bull market
	* Risks of being long-only in equities growing as rates rise, possible recession
	* Past downturns in equities have usually benefited U.S. Treasuries
	* S&P 500 market cap highest since 1999/2000 as percentage of GDP

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