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  • Minutes from hawkish Sep 19-20 FOMC meeting will detail the unchanged "Fed dots"
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Tue US 1000 ET Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari (voter) speaks at a regional economic conference hosted by his bank.

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Powell and Warsh are running neck-and-neck in the betting odds for the next Fed Chair

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Mon US n/a U.S. government offices and cash Treasury trading closed for Columbus Day. Exchanges open.

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  • Weekly global market focus
  • T-note prices remain under pressure as Fed rate-hike expectations reach new high
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Fri US 0830 ET Sep non-farm payrolls expected +80,000, Aug +156,000. Sep private payrolls expected +72,000, Aug +165,000.

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  • U.S. unemployment report will be mostly overlooked due to hurricane distortions
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Thu US 0730 ET Sep Challenger job cuts, Aug +5.1% y/y.

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  • Odds of a Dec rate hike reach a new high as focus remains on new Fed Chair appointment
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Wed US 0700 ET Weekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -0.5% with purchase sub-index +2.8% and refi sub-index +3.5%.

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  • SPX record high keeps valuations stretched
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Tue US 0830 ET Fed Governor Jerome Powell discusses regulatory reform at a U.S. Financial Regulation event in Washington.

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U.S. vehicle sales expected to improve from hurricane replacements

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Mon US 0945 ET Revised Sep U.S. Markit manufacturing PMI expected unchanged at 53.0, prelim-Sep +0.2 to 53.0.

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  • Weekly global market focus
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Fri US 0830 ET Aug personal spending expected +0.1%, Jul +0.3%. Aug personal income expected +0.2%, Jul +0.4%.

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  • Fed's preferred inflation measure expected to tick higher but remain below target
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Thu US 0830 ET Weekly initial unemployment claims expected +11,000 to 270,000, previous -23,000 to 259,000.

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  • Markets become more optimistic about a tax cut 
  • U.S. Q2 GDP expected unrevised from strong +3.0% 
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Wed US 0700 ET Weekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -9.7% with purchase sub-index -10.8% and refi sub-index -8.5%.

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Fed
PPI
Qe
S&p

From the blog

Blog

Global Economic/#Commodity & #Futures Calendar and Reports

US 0830 ET Oct Chicago Fed national activity index expected +0.03 to 0.20, Sep +0.54 to +0.17.

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Blog

Global Economic/#Commodity & #Futures Calendar and Reports

US 0830 ET Oct Chicago Fed national activity index expected +0.03 to 0.20, Sep +0.54 to +0.17.

Read more...
Blog

Global Economic/#Commodity & #Futures Calendar and Reports

US 0830 ET Oct Chicago Fed national activity index expected +0.03 to 0.20, Sep +0.54 to +0.17.

Read more...

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